WASHINGTON – President Obama is conceding something many of his critics fear: that Iran could end up much closer to developing an atomic bomb at the end of the nuclear agreement now being negotiated.
"They're not going to have been able to horde a bunch of uranium that somehow they then convert to weapons-grade uranium," Obama told NPR in an interview that aired Tuesday.
"What is a more relevant fear would be that in year 13, 14, 15, they have advanced centrifuges that enrich uranium fairly rapidly, and at that point, the breakout times would have shrunk almost down to zero.
"…but at that point we have much better ideas about what it is that their program involves. We have much more insight into their capabilities. And the option of a future president to take action if in fact they try to obtain a nuclear weapon is undiminished."
The US and Iran, along with international partners, reached a "framework" deal last week that is meant to keep Iran a year away from "breakout" to build a nuclear bomb. The US says it's just two or three months away now.
But many of the toughest restrictions within the agreement expire after a decade. Others vanish in 15 years, although international inspections would stay in place indefinitely in accordance with existing agreements.
Meanwhile, Iran gets to keep its know-how and its equipment – even as it exports most of its stockpile to a location that isn't spelled out in the deal.
Critics say this raises the possibility it is playing a waiting game, and would make a bomb after the sanctions and restrictions get lifted.
Obama contends that the US would still have the means it has now to intervene if needed, which could refer to military or other means.
"The option of a future president to take action if in fact they try to obtain a nuclear weapon is undiminished," he insisted.
Another potential weakness is that a future president could simply stop granting waiver authority to sanctions relief negotiated by Obama.
But Obama says he's not worried about that possibility.
"I am confident that any president who gets elected will be knowledgeable enough about foreign policy and knowledgeable enough about the traditions and precedents of presidential power that they won't start calling to question the capacity of the executive branch of the United States to enter into agreements with other countries," he told NPR.
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